{"id":6800,"date":"2025-08-06T20:10:26","date_gmt":"2025-08-06T20:10:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/greatbuttonhk.com\/?p=6800"},"modified":"2025-08-07T21:52:07","modified_gmt":"2025-08-07T21:52:07","slug":"british-couple-lindsay-and-craig-foreman-make-first-call-home-since-being-detained-in-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/greatbuttonhk.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/06\/british-couple-lindsay-and-craig-foreman-make-first-call-home-since-being-detained-in-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u53f2\u7121\u524d\u4f8b\u9032\u884c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u6295\u7968\u5f8c \u6e1b\u4f4e\u82f1\u570b\u606f\u7387\u81f3 4%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u64da\u91d1\u878d\u6642\u5831\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\uff08Bank of England\uff09\u4eca\u65e5\uff088 \u6708 7 \u65e5\uff09\u5c07\u82f1\u570b\u606f\u7387\u4e0b\u8abf\u4e86\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u81f3 4%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08Monetary Policy Committee\uff09\u5728\u6700\u521d\u672a\u80fd\u9054\u6210\u591a\u6578\u610f\u898b\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u53f2\u7121\u524d\u4f8b\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u4e94\u540d\u6210\u54e1\u652f\u6301\u5c07\u5229\u7387\u964d\u4f4e\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u800c\u56db\u540d\u6210\u54e1\u5247\u6295\u7968\u652f\u6301\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\u9019\u6b21\u6295\u7968\u7d50\u679c\u7a81\u986f\u4e86\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5167\u90e8\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u653e\u7de9\u548c\u901a\u8139\u6301\u7e8c\u9ad8\u4f01\u9019\u5169\u5927\u6311\u6230\u4e0a\u5b58\u5728\u56b4\u91cd\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4f01\u696d\u548c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u627f\u53d7\u6bd4\u8d77\u9810\u671f\u66f4\u9577\u6642\u9593\u7684\u9ad8\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u884c\u9577 Andrew Bailey \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u6e1b\u606f\u662f\u7d93\u904e\u6df1\u601d\u719f\u616e\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0c\u800c\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f91\u300c\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4e0b\u884c\u300d\uff08\u201ccontinues to be downward\u201d\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u5f37\u8abf\u4efb\u4f55\u672a\u4f86\u6e1b\u606f\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u9010\u6b65\u53ca\u8b39\u614e\u5730\u9032\u884c\u3002\u4ed6\u88dc\u5145\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u5b58\u5728\u300c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u300d\uff08\u201cgenuine uncertainty\u201d\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u901a\u8139\u8d85\u904e\u9810\u671f\u548c\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u8a72\u884c\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u98df\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u6f32\u5c07\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u63a8\u52d5\u901a\u8139\u7387\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u8d85\u8d8a\u76ee\u6a19\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u9810\u8a08 9 \u6708\u901a\u8139\u7387\u5c07\u9054\u5230 4%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u5148\u524d\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6709\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u6295\u7968\u7d50\u679c\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u4f7f\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8b8a\u5f97\u6a21\u7cca\u3002Berenberg \u9280\u884c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6 Andrew Wishart \u6307\u9019\u7a2e\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u8f49\u8eda\u300d\uff08\u201chawkish pivot\u201d\uff0c\u5373\u8f49\u5411\u66f4\u7dca\u7e2e\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u986f\u793a\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u6b63\u6e96\u5099\u66ab\u505c\u671f\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u9031\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u662f\u6b21\u6e1b\u606f\u4ea6\u5c0d\u82f1\u938a\u532f\u7387\u6709\u6240\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u4eca\u65e5\u4e0b\u5348\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u532f\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4e86 0.5% \u81f3 1 \u938a\u514c 1.342 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u64da\u91d1\u878d\u6642\u5831\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\uff08Bank of England\uff09\u4eca\u65e5\uff088 \u6708 7 \u65e5\uff09\u5c07\u82f1\u570b\u606f\u7387\u4e0b\u8abf\u4e86\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u81f3 4%\u3002 \u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08Monetary Policy Committee\uff09\u5728\u6700\u521d\u672a\u80fd\u9054\u6210\u591a\u6578\u610f\u898b\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u53f2\u7121\u524d\u4f8b\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u4e94\u540d\u6210\u54e1\u652f\u6301\u5c07\u5229\u7387\u964d\u4f4e\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u800c\u56db\u540d\u6210\u54e1\u5247\u6295\u7968\u652f\u6301\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\u9019\u6b21\u6295\u7968\u7d50\u679c\u7a81\u986f\u4e86\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5167\u90e8\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u653e\u7de9\u548c\u901a\u8139\u6301\u7e8c\u9ad8\u4f01\u9019\u5169\u5927\u6311\u6230\u4e0a\u5b58\u5728\u56b4\u91cd\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4f01\u696d\u548c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u627f\u53d7\u6bd4\u8d77\u9810\u671f\u66f4\u9577\u6642\u9593\u7684\u9ad8\u606f\u3002 \u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u884c\u9577 Andrew Bailey \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u6e1b\u606f\u662f\u7d93\u904e\u6df1\u601d\u719f\u616e\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0c\u800c\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f91\u300c\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4e0b\u884c\u300d\uff08\u201ccontinues to be downward\u201d\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u5f37\u8abf\u4efb\u4f55\u672a\u4f86\u6e1b\u606f\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u9010\u6b65\u53ca\u8b39\u614e\u5730\u9032\u884c\u3002\u4ed6\u88dc\u5145\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u5b58\u5728\u300c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u300d\uff08\u201cgenuine uncertainty\u201d\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u901a\u8139\u8d85\u904e\u9810\u671f\u548c\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u8a72\u884c\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u98df\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u6f32\u5c07\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u63a8\u52d5\u901a\u8139\u7387\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u8d85\u8d8a\u76ee\u6a19\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u9810\u8a08 9 \u6708\u901a\u8139\u7387\u5c07\u9054\u5230 4%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u5148\u524d\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002 \u6709\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u6295\u7968\u7d50\u679c\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u4f7f\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8b8a\u5f97\u6a21\u7cca\u3002Berenberg \u9280\u884c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6 Andrew Wishart \u6307\u9019\u7a2e\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u8f49\u8eda\u300d\uff08\u201chawkish pivot\u201d\uff0c\u5373\u8f49\u5411\u66f4\u7dca\u7e2e\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u986f\u793a\u82f1\u502b\u9280\u884c\u6b63\u6e96\u5099\u66ab\u505c\u671f\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u9031\u671f\u3002 \u662f\u6b21\u6e1b\u606f\u4ea6\u5c0d\u82f1\u938a\u532f\u7387\u6709\u6240\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u4eca\u65e5\u4e0b\u5348\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u532f\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4e86 0.5% \u81f3 1 \u938a\u514c 1.342 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